2025 Box Office Predictions

Another idea that I thought would be fun to do this year was a box office predictions post. The idea here is that I highlighted the biggest movies of the year and predicted how much money they would make. Then at the end of the year, I will compare and see how I ended up. Some of the movies were easier to predict than others. A lot of them, I just based on the previous film's performance. However, the films with variable performances from their franchise or sequels to a film that came out over 20 years ago were a bit more challenging. With all that said, here are my box office predictions for the biggest movies of 2025.

Captain America: Brave New World: This is the first of three MCU movies to be released this year. The MCU has been up and down at the box office with The Marvels flopping at only $200 million while Deadpool and Wolverine made over $1 billion. My prediction is that this will make about $700 million, somewhere in the middle of the two. Captain America: Brave New World will be released on February 14th.

Paddington in Peru: The Paddington franchise has been pretty consistent over the years. The first film brought in about $ 270 million while the second did slightly less at $225 million. I anticipate the third film to do about the same being somewhere around the $250 million mark. Paddington in Peru will be released on February 14th.

Snow White: This is Disney's live-action remake of the year. People haven't been going to these like they did in 2019. Mufasa made about $540 million while The Little Mermaid made about $570 million in contrast to Aladdin and The Lion King who each made over $1 billion. I anticipate this movie to be at about $500 million. Snow White will be released on March 21st.

A Minecraft Movie: This is a bit tougher of a film to predict. Minecraft is a very popular video game and if the movie is actually good, I could see it make over $1 billion. However, based on the trailers, the movie does not look good at all and is not going to draw as both kids and adults like Super Mario did. I predict that this movie will make about $700 million with the potential for over $1 billion if the trailers show something better. A Minecraft Movie will be released on April 4th.

Thunderbolts: This is the MCU's version of Suicide Squad. The characters aren't as notable as some of the other films but I think this will still draw a decent crowd. I predict this will make about $600 million. Thunderbolts will be released on May 2nd.

Lilo and Stitch: This is the other Disney live-action remake of the year. I anticipate this film will do about as well or maybe a little better as the last couple of remakes as the people who grew up with Lilo and Stich are at an age where they have kids and can take them to see the movie. I predict this movie will make about $600 million. Lilo and Stich will be released on May 23rd.

Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning: This is the "final" entry in the Mission: Impossible franchise. The franchise peaked with Fallout making $790 but then slumped a bit with Dead Reckoning getting its legs cut off because of Barbenhimer as it only made $550 million. I predict this movie will make close to $800 million as it has a solid month before the next big opening and is being marketed as the final entry. Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning will be released on May 23rd.

Karate Kid: Legends: This is another tough film as I'm not sure what the demand is for this film. The Jackie Chan movie made about $350 million in 2010. I think Karate Kid will have a slightly larger demand than the other legacy sequels, 28 years later, and Dirty Dancing 2. I think there is a draw for people to want to see Jackie Chan team up with Ralph Macchio. My prediction is that this movie will make somewhere in the $300 million era possibly a little more. Karate Kid: Legends will release on May 30th

Dirty Dancing 2: This is another challenging one as the original film was released in the 80s so I cannot go off of previous box office performance. However, based on the box office performance of some other smaller legacy sequels, I predict that this movie will bring it about $150 million. Dirty Dancing 2 will release on June 6th

Ballerina: This is the newest installment in the John Wick franchise. The box office for this franchise has gradually gone up with John Wick Chapter 4 making $440 million. I don't expect Ballerina to do that good but predict it will come in at the $350 million mark. Ballerina will be released on June 6th

Elio: This is the Pixar release for this year. Pixar has been up and down in the past few years with Lightyear at $225 million and Inside Out 2 at $1.5 billion. Since Elio is an original film, I anticipate it being on the lower end. I expect this movie to make somewhere in the $250 million which will make this movie a flop considering Disney likes to spend $200 million on their animated films. Elio will be released on June 13th.

How to Train Your Dragon: This is another live-action remake that nobody asked for. The cartoon films peaked at $650 million while the final film made $540 million. I expect this movie to make less than that at around $450 million as I think this is too soon for a live-action remake of a 15-year-old film. How to Train Your Dragon will be released on June 13th

28 Years Later: This film is a bit of a challenge to predict. This isn't a huge franchise, so I do not expect a ton of money for it. The first film made $85 million 20 years ago while the second film diminished a little and made only $65 million in 2006. I expect this film to be slightly above what the others did just with the $ 20-year difference. I am predicting somewhere around $100 million or a little over. 28 Years Later will be released on June 20th.

F1: This is Apple's new racing movie starring Brad Pitt. The last few Apple theatrical films haven't done super well. Killers of the Flower Moon did about $150 million while Napoleon did about $220 million. I predict that this movie will do better than both of those because of the fan base. I expect it to make about $300 million. Apple will probably lose money on this but they won't care because making movies is just part of their "fun money". F1 will be released on June 25th.

M3GAN 2.0: This is a film that isn't going to make a lot of money but will be very profitable. The first film made about $180 million on a $12 million budget. I expect this film to do about the same, probably around $180 million. M3GAN 2.0 will be released on June 27th

Jurassic World: Rebirth: This movie is part of a heavy hitter franchise with 4/6 films making over $1 billion. I predict this film will also make over $1 billion. People love them a dinosaur movie regardless of how good it is. Jurassic World: Rebirth will be released on July 2nd.

Superman: This is the big DCU movie of the year. I feel that many people are going to be very excited about a new Superman movie. Man of Steel made about $670 million but I feel this movie will make more than that. My prediction is that this movie will make $800 million. Depending on how good it is, it may break $1 billion. Superman will be released on July 11th.

Fantastic Four: First Steps: This is the big-deal MCU movie of the year. People have been waiting a long time for an MCU Fantastic Four movie. I predict that this movie will make $850 million and be a possible $1 billion contender depending on reception. Fantastic Four: First Steps will be released on July 25th.

The Bad Guys 2:  This is another film that I think will do fairly close to the original film. The first film cost about $250 million. I anticipate this movie to do about the same at $250 million. The Bad Guys 2 will be released on August 1st.

Michael: This is the new Michael Jackson biopic. The closest comparison I could find was 2018's Bohemian Rhapsody which made over $900 million. Given Michael Jackson's popularity, I'm going to make a bold prediction and say this movie will make somewhat close to that at $850 million. Depending on how good it is, this movie may get close to $1 billion. Michael will be released on October 3rd.

Now You See Me 3: This is another larger-gapped sequel. The other 2 films did about $350 million. I expect this film to do about the same, maybe a little less at around $300 million. Now You See Me 3 will be released on November 14th

Wicked: For Good: This is going to be the big musical of this year. The first Wicked film made $700 million. Considering how many people liked it, I expect this film to make even more and be somewhere in the $800 million range. Wicked: For Good will be released on November 21st.

Zootopia 2: Zootopia 2 is the Disney animated project for this year. The first Zootopia movie made over $ 1 billion and lasts years Moana 2 made over a 1 billion. I predict that this movie has a very good chance of reaching $1 billion as well. Zootopia 2 will be released on November 26th.

Five Nights at Freddy's 2: This is another horror sequel where the original film was very profitable because of its small budget. Boys in the 12-15 age range seem to be very excited about this movie as they are fans of the game. The first film also had a same-day release on Peacock which may have hurt its number a little but probably not much because nobody has Peacock. I predict that this movie will make slightly more than the first film, probably around the $350 million mark. Five Nights at Freddy's 2 will be released on December 5th

Avatar: Fire and Ash: This is the easiest film to predict. The first Avatar film is the highest-grossing movie of all time and the 2nd film is the third highest-grossing movie of all time. James Cameron knows how to bring people to the theater. This movie will make at least $1 billion and will probably make $2 billion and be the 4th or 5th highest-grossing movie of all time. Avatar: Fire and Ash will be released on December 19th.